Planning ahead
Should I buy a home in Los Angeles now or keep renting?
Short answer
Buying a home in Los Angeles may make sense if you expect to stay long enough to recover the transaction costs, can comfortably afford the full costs of ownership and will keep adequate savings after closing. Keep renting if your plans are uncertain, your current rent is favorable or buying would stretch you financially. Base the decision on real properties and financing options, not predictions about prices or rates.
From Ken's experience
The answer to this question really depends on a lot of personal factors. It requires some soul-searching, if not predicting the future!
It is typically best to keep renting if you anticipate only staying in the same place for the next two or three years. The five-year mark is where it really makes sense to seriously think about buying your home.
Five years or longer will typically be when homeowners see that they’ve built up equity. Some through amortization but mostly through value appreciation.
When my prospective home buying clients ask me this question, that “time” question is generally the question that I have for them.
Years ago I heard my mentor say in response to the question “when’s the best time to buy a house?”… “About five years ago!”
That has held up as a fairly true statement, for the most part, over time.
Ken Sisson, Studio City and Sherman Oaks real estate broker
Start with what you want your housing to accomplish
Before comparing payments, consider why you want to buy.
You may want more space, greater control over the property, a stable home base or a place that supports your long-term plans. Those benefits matter, even when owning costs more each month.
Renting can offer flexibility and fewer maintenance responsibilities. That may be valuable if you expect to relocate, change jobs or reconsider which Los Angeles neighborhood best fits your life.
Neither choice is automatically the financially responsible one. The right answer depends on your circumstances and the specific alternatives.
Compare the full costs, not rent against principal and interest
For a potential purchase, estimate:
- Mortgage principal and interest.
- Property taxes and applicable assessments.
- Homeowners insurance and any additional coverage.
- HOA dues and potential special assessments.
- Maintenance, repairs and utilities.
- Upfront closing costs and eventual selling expenses.
Compare those figures with your rent, renters insurance, utilities and other rental expenses.
For cash-flow planning, include the entire mortgage payment. For a longer-term financial comparison, recognize that principal payments reduce your loan balance and build equity; interest, taxes, insurance and maintenance generally do not.
Also account for the potential return you give up by using savings for a down payment rather than keeping that money invested. Investment returns and home appreciation are both uncertain.
Use Los Angeles property-specific numbers
Citywide averages are a starting point, but they will not tell you whether a particular purchase works.
A condo with substantial HOA dues may have a different cost structure from a similarly priced house. An older house may need major repairs, while a hillside property may carry additional drainage, retaining-wall or insurance considerations.
Get insurance quotes for the actual address and review available inspection and HOA information.
Do not use the seller’s existing property-tax bill as your expected bill. A typical California home purchase triggers reassessment to current market value, and supplemental property-tax bills may follow. Ask for an estimate based on your purchase and the property’s applicable assessments.
Consider how long you are likely to stay
Buying and selling involve costs that can be difficult to recover over a short ownership period.
A common rule of thumb is to plan on staying five years or more, though the break-even point depends on the purchase price, financing, rent, maintenance, transaction costs and what happens to values over time.
Compare several ownership periods that reflect your actual plans. If you might move soon, include the possibility of selling into a weaker market.
A longer expected stay can improve the case for buying, but it does not guarantee a profitable outcome.
Make sure the purchase works without a future refinance
Evaluate the home using financing you can obtain today.
A future refinance might improve your payment, but lower rates, loan approval and sufficient property value are not guaranteed. Refinancing also has costs.
With a fixed-rate mortgage, principal and interest generally remain stable, but taxes, insurance and HOA dues can rise. If you are considering an adjustable-rate mortgage or temporary buydown, understand the payment after the initial period.
Buying should not depend on a hoped-for refinance making an otherwise uncomfortable payment affordable.
Test both choices under less favorable conditions
Ask your lender or financial adviser to help compare scenarios such as:
- Home values remain flat or decline.
- Insurance, maintenance or HOA costs increase.
- Your income falls temporarily.
- You need a major repair earlier than expected.
- Your rent increases or you need to move.
- Mortgage rates remain elevated longer than you anticipate.
A rent-versus-buy calculator can help, but its answer depends on its assumptions. Test different appreciation, rent-growth and investment-return estimates rather than relying on one optimistic projection.
If renting costs less, consider what you would actually do with the savings. Consistently saving or investing the difference produces a different outcome from spending it.
Separate readiness from market timing
You do not need to identify the absolute bottom of the market to make a sound purchase. You do need a suitable property, supportable terms and enough financial flexibility to handle ownership.
Likewise, continuing to rent does not mean abandoning homeownership. It can provide time to build reserves, reduce debt or clarify your plans.
Before deciding, ask:
- Does this home fit my needs for the foreseeable future?
- Can I afford it while continuing to save for other goals?
- How much cash will remain after closing and immediate repairs?
- What would buying cost compared with a realistic rental alternative?
- Would I still be comfortable owning it if prices did not rise?
- What specific change would make me ready to buy if I keep renting?
Use those answers to set a purchase budget and decision criteria. Then evaluate opportunities against that plan as they become available.
Who can help with this decision
Ken Sisson
Potential fit as a buyer's agentThis question is about evaluating and negotiating a purchase. A buyer's agent represents your interests in that decision.
Why Ken for this situation
- Writes UpListed's buyer-side analysis for Studio City and Sherman Oaks, including how to evaluate reduced-price homes
“We literally just got the keys to our new home and I am more than happy to fully recommend Ken as a realtor. We are first time home buyers and he made this process easy every step of the way, always making sure we knew what was happening…”
Covers Studio City, Sherman Oaks, Los Angeles · Real Estate Broker, DRE 01292247 · Ken Sisson provides real estate services through Christie's International Real Estate Southern California
Disclosure: Ken Sisson is UpListed's founding contributor. Recommendations are not paid placements.
Sources
- Consider Whether It’s the Right Time for You to Buy (Consumer Financial Protection Bureau)
- What Are Some of the Financial Considerations of Buying a Home? (Consumer Financial Protection Bureau)
- Figure Out How Much You Want to Spend (Consumer Financial Protection Bureau)
- Compare and Negotiate Your Loan Offers (Consumer Financial Protection Bureau)
- Change in Ownership: Frequently Asked Questions (California State Board of Equalization)
- Supplemental Assessment (California State Board of Equalization)
- Home/Residential Insurance (California Department of Insurance)
Related questions
- Should I market my Los Angeles home privately before listing it publicly?
- How do I find the best buyer's agent in Los Angeles for my situation?
- Is the Los Angeles housing market going to crash?
- Should I use the same agent to sell my home and buy my next one?
About this answer
- Author and reviewer
- Ken Sisson, Real Estate Broker, DRE 01292247
- Original expertise
- Ken Sisson
- Also asked as
- Who can help me evaluate buying versus renting without pressuring me?
- Scope
- Los Angeles, CA. General information, not legal, tax or lending advice.
- First published
- Last reviewed